Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.883643 1.033094 1.199904 1.399884 1.633155 1.896723 2.217250
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.656910 0.858512 1.109385 1.444530 1.880789 2.429895 3.174494
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.522795 0.739795 1.031615 1.452791 2.045677 2.851640 4.032884
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.428803 0.647226 0.960029 1.440709 2.161702 3.204910 4.833370
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.362106 0.577875 0.904122 1.433369 2.271932 3.552383 5.663031
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.315769 0.529640 0.869081 1.447028 2.408680 3.949385 6.615558
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.266623 0.467986 0.802030 1.396466 2.430720 4.162008 7.293908
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.251784 0.460885 0.822233 1.492043 2.706524 4.823516 8.813435
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.217815 0.414689 0.768173 1.448936 2.731886 5.054620 9.603636
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.188464 0.372356 0.714651 1.398058 2.733748 5.239912 10.329070
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.164637 0.336920 0.668760 1.354335 2.741342 5.433451 11.091137
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.151687 0.320989 0.657879 1.376926 2.880287 5.893866 12.437639
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.146941 0.321641 0.680893 1.473309 3.186011 6.732851 14.693124
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.137505 0.311127 0.679844 1.519778 3.395212 7.404897 16.699817
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.125915 0.294133 0.662612 1.528437 3.523134 7.920614 18.436707
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.114112 0.274854 0.637595 1.515726 3.600532 8.334106 19.997607
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.104065 0.258189 0.616141 1.508003 3.687841 8.780101 21.695345
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.096565 0.246551 0.604723 1.522373 3.829227 9.368742 23.817008
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.085862 0.225418 0.567822 1.469181 3.797882 9.541584 24.935409
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.084741 0.228562 0.590797 1.569729 4.166699 10.740289 28.828517
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.076154 0.210893 0.559047 1.524380 4.152376 10.975082 30.238171
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.068130 0.193588 0.525951 1.470856 4.108944 11.129039 31.453134
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.061305 0.178623 0.497085 1.424858 4.079669 11.316522 32.787690